Jupiter Retrograde
JUP_RXLast updated 14 Feb 2026 by DaFinsTro Boss
Overview
Jupiter Retrograde occurs when the planet Jupiter appears to move backward in the sky from our perspective on Earth. This happens as Earth overtakes Jupiter in its orbit, creating an optical illusion of reversal. Astrologically, this period is seen as a time to reflect on growth, expansion, and philosophical beliefs.
Market Interpretation
In Vedic astrology, Jupiter is considered the planet of wealth, expansion, and wisdom. Its retrograde motion often signals a time for reassessment and introspection rather than aggressive expansion. For the Indian markets, this can mean a period of consolidation, particularly affecting sectors that rely on long-term growth and strategic investments. Western astrology echoes these sentiments, suggesting a slowdown or reevaluation phase that could lead to temporary market corrections or a shift in investment strategies.
Key Themes
Sector Impact
MixedJupiter's influence on financial growth is dampened, leading to potential caution in lending and investment.
The focus may shift to refining existing technologies rather than expanding aggressively.
A time for breakthroughs in research and development due to introspective analysis.
Delays in expansion plans and investments may hinder growth temporarily.
While long-term projects may see delays, it's a good time for strategic planning and restructuring.
What DaFinstro Engine Says
Verdict
Our Engine finds that the data contradicts the mixed astrological bias for Jupiter Retrograde, showing a generally positive performance across most indices, with particularly strong results in certain sectors.
Strongest Signals
- NIFTY BANK: Win rate of 73.9%, average return of 8.05%, over 23 occurrences, statistically significant with a p-value of 0.0173.
- NIFTY 200: Win rate of 70.0%, average return of 4.30%, over 20 occurrences.
- NIFTY NEXT 50: Win rate of 66.7%, average return of 6.01%, over 27 occurrences.
Astro vs Data
While Jupiter's retrograde is traditionally associated with reassessment and consolidation, the data shows a strong positive response, particularly in the NIFTY BANK index. This suggests that sectors like banking, which rely on long-term growth, may unexpectedly thrive during this period. Conversely, NIFTY METAL underperforms with a win rate of 47.6%, aligning with the expectation of consolidation.
Confidence
The historical performance data is based on a reasonable sample size, with occurrences ranging from 20 to 32 across indices. While the strongest signals are concentrated in the NIFTY BANK, the consistent positive performance across multiple indices enhances confidence in these observations, despite most p-values not reaching traditional significance levels.
Trading Notes
During Jupiter Retrograde, traders should focus on reevaluating their long-term positions and strategies. This period is ideal for consolidating gains and avoiding aggressive new investments. Patience and strategic planning are recommended as the market may experience temporary volatility and shifts in sentiment.
Historical Performance
| Index | N | Wins | Win Rate | Avg Ret | Avg Win | Avg Loss | Sharpe | Sortino | PF | P-Value | Sig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 100 | 22 | 14 | 63.6% | 3.52% | +9.42% | -6.80% | 1.09 | 1.40 | 2.42 | 0.1431 | - |
| NIFTY 200 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% | 3.81% | +9.57% | -7.70% | 1.15 | 1.39 | 2.49 | 0.0946 | - |
| NIFTY 500 | 29 | 18 | 62.1% | 3.46% | +10.29% | -7.71% | 0.95 | 1.23 | 2.18 | 0.1325 | - |
| NIFTY AUTO | 21 | 15 | 71.4% | 5.30% | +11.35% | -9.82% | 1.17 | 1.45 | 2.89 | 0.0392 | Yes |
| NIFTY BANK | 24 | 18 | 75.0% | 7.91% | +13.58% | -9.11% | 1.99 | 2.37 | 4.47 | 0.0113 | Yes |
| NIFTY CAPITAL GOODS | 20 | 11 | 55.0% | 3.15% | +15.56% | -12.01% | 0.58 | 0.66 | 1.58 | 0.4119 | - |
| NIFTY CEMENT | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 5.71% | +13.69% | -6.25% | 1.47 | 1.92 | 3.29 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY CHEMICALS | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 5.09% | +11.16% | -9.07% | 1.30 | 1.57 | 2.87 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY COMMERCIAL & TRANSPORT SERVICES | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 2.88% | +13.60% | -13.18% | 0.55 | 0.58 | 1.55 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY CONSTRUCTION | 20 | 11 | 55.0% | 5.94% | +21.04% | -12.53% | 0.92 | 1.22 | 2.05 | 0.4119 | - |
| NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 6.05% | +14.16% | -9.02% | 1.31 | 1.95 | 2.92 | 0.1316 | - |
| NIFTY CONSUMER SERVICES | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 9.17% | +21.46% | -15.41% | 1.27 | 1.88 | 2.78 | - | - |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES | 21 | 16 | 76.2% | 6.07% | +10.69% | -8.74% | 1.66 | 1.88 | 3.92 | 0.0133 | Yes |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES 25-50 | 21 | 15 | 71.4% | 5.23% | +10.78% | -8.65% | 1.35 | 1.63 | 3.12 | 0.0392 | Yes |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES EX-BANK | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 6.76% | +13.18% | -8.23% | 1.64 | 2.31 | 3.74 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY FMCG | 28 | 18 | 64.3% | 3.28% | +9.45% | -7.82% | 0.92 | 0.96 | 2.18 | 0.0925 | - |
| NIFTY HEALTHCARE | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 4.65% | +11.05% | -7.23% | 1.26 | 1.67 | 2.84 | 0.1316 | - |
| NIFTY HOSPITALS | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 11.32% | +15.14% | -3.98% | 3.47 | 9.41 | 15.22 | - | - |
| NIFTY HOUSING FINANCE | 8 | 3 | 37.5% | -0.20% | +14.28% | -8.89% | -0.16 | -0.23 | 0.96 | - | - |
| NIFTY INDIA FPI 150 | 4 | 2 | 50.0% | 1.18% | +9.71% | -7.36% | 0.23 | 0.31 | 1.32 | - | - |
| NIFTY INSURANCE | 6 | 3 | 50.0% | 2.20% | +12.61% | -8.20% | 0.48 | 0.65 | 1.54 | - | - |
| NIFTY IT | 28 | 17 | 60.7% | 11.27% | +23.74% | -7.99% | 1.43 | 3.70 | 4.59 | 0.1725 | - |
| NIFTY LARGEMIDCAP 250 | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 4.31% | +10.36% | -9.82% | 1.15 | 1.27 | 2.46 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY MEDIA | 19 | 8 | 42.1% | 2.31% | +18.38% | -9.38% | 0.36 | 0.52 | 1.43 | 0.8204 | - |
| NIFTY METAL | 21 | 10 | 47.6% | 1.46% | +17.62% | -13.24% | 0.18 | 0.21 | 1.21 | 0.6682 | - |
| NIFTY MICROCAP 250 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.38% | +17.67% | -15.55% | 0.70 | 0.81 | 1.70 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 100 | 22 | 12 | 54.5% | 3.64% | +13.87% | -8.64% | 0.80 | 1.08 | 1.93 | 0.4159 | - |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 150 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.37% | +13.68% | -9.60% | 0.98 | 1.19 | 2.14 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 50 | 21 | 14 | 66.7% | 3.72% | +11.61% | -12.04% | 0.79 | 0.83 | 1.93 | 0.0946 | - |
| NIFTY MIDCAP SELECT | 19 | 13 | 68.4% | 3.93% | +11.49% | -12.46% | 0.86 | 0.90 | 2.00 | 0.0835 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL FINANCIAL SERVICES | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 5.91% | +15.54% | -8.54% | 1.27 | 1.74 | 2.73 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL HEALTHCARE | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 5.99% | +13.99% | -6.01% | 1.45 | 2.45 | 3.49 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL IT & TELECOM | 20 | 10 | 50.0% | 4.53% | +18.15% | -9.09% | 0.75 | 1.26 | 2.00 | 0.5881 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALLCAP 400 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.43% | +14.26% | -10.32% | 0.96 | 1.18 | 2.07 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALLCAP400 50:50 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.58% | +14.71% | -10.61% | 0.97 | 1.21 | 2.08 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY NBFC | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 7.92% | +15.07% | -8.76% | 1.75 | 2.45 | 4.02 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY NEXT 100 | 15 | 10 | 66.7% | 3.34% | +9.20% | -8.39% | 0.90 | 0.95 | 2.19 | 0.1509 | - |
| NIFTY NEXT 50 | 27 | 18 | 66.7% | 6.20% | +13.69% | -8.78% | 1.29 | 1.78 | 3.12 | 0.0610 | - |
| NIFTY OIL & GAS | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 2.31% | +9.06% | -7.82% | 0.58 | 0.69 | 1.74 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY PHARMA | 24 | 16 | 66.7% | 3.87% | +9.65% | -7.70% | 1.05 | 1.27 | 2.51 | 0.0758 | - |
| NIFTY POWER | 20 | 7 | 35.0% | 0.90% | +18.13% | -8.38% | 0.08 | 0.12 | 1.17 | 0.9423 | - |
| NIFTY PRIVATE BANK | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 6.10% | +12.41% | -8.62% | 1.63 | 1.98 | 3.36 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY PSU BANK | 21 | 12 | 57.1% | 6.05% | +19.68% | -12.12% | 0.96 | 1.39 | 2.17 | 0.3318 | - |
| NIFTY REALTY | 18 | 9 | 50.0% | 6.64% | +26.37% | -13.08% | 0.86 | 1.25 | 2.02 | 0.5927 | - |
| NIFTY REITS & REALTY | 5 | 2 | 40.0% | 4.33% | +20.61% | -6.53% | 0.86 | 1.93 | 2.10 | - | - |
| NIFTY RETAIL | 8 | 4 | 50.0% | 7.43% | +24.33% | -9.46% | 1.09 | 1.93 | 2.57 | - | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 100 | 21 | 13 | 61.9% | 4.77% | +15.08% | -12.00% | 0.91 | 1.16 | 2.04 | 0.1917 | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 250 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.71% | +15.63% | -11.66% | 0.92 | 1.16 | 2.01 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 50 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.82% | +17.04% | -13.51% | 0.81 | 1.03 | 1.89 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 500 | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.96% | +16.19% | -11.88% | 0.93 | 1.18 | 2.05 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY TELECOMMUNICATIONS | 20 | 8 | 40.0% | 0.38% | +15.18% | -9.49% | -0.03 | -0.04 | 1.07 | 0.8684 | - |
| NIFTY TOTAL MARKET | 20 | 14 | 70.0% | 4.12% | +9.58% | -8.63% | 1.20 | 1.37 | 2.59 | 0.0577 | - |
| NIFTY50 | 33 | 21 | 63.6% | 5.20% | +12.15% | -6.96% | 0.89 | 1.98 | 3.06 | 0.0814 | - |
| NIFTY500 HEALTHCARE | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 4.75% | +11.13% | -7.09% | 1.26 | 1.80 | 2.92 | 0.1316 | - |
| NIFTY500 LARGEMIDSMALL EQUAL-CAP WEIGHTED | 20 | 12 | 60.0% | 4.55% | +13.08% | -8.25% | 1.11 | 1.46 | 2.38 | 0.2517 | - |
| NIFTY500 MULTICAP 50:25:25 | 20 | 13 | 65.0% | 4.45% | +11.40% | -8.46% | 1.16 | 1.45 | 2.50 | 0.1316 | - |
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