Neptune Retrograde
NEP_RXLast updated 14 Feb 2026 by DaFinsTro Boss
Overview
Neptune Retrograde occurs when the planet Neptune appears to move backward in the sky from the perspective of Earth. This is an optical illusion caused by the relative positions of Neptune and Earth in their respective orbits. Astrologically, it is a period of introspection and reflection on Neptunian themes such as dreams, illusions, and spirituality.
Market Interpretation
In Vedic astrology, Neptune is associated with maya (illusion) and the subtle realms, and its retrograde motion can lead to a period of uncovering truths and dispelling illusions. This can cause uncertainty in markets, as hidden issues or unrealistic valuations might come to light. In Western astrology, Neptune's influence can lead to confusion and lack of clarity, affecting investor sentiment. For the Indian markets, this might manifest in cautious trading behaviors, particularly in sectors sensitive to speculation and perception.
Key Themes
Sector Impact
MixedPotential for reassessment of hidden risks and speculative investments.
While innovation continues, investor caution may slow speculative tech investments.
Introspection can lead to breakthroughs and clearer understanding in health-related fields.
Possibility of uncovering hidden issues related to valuations or legal matters.
Stable demand but potential volatility due to geopolitical uncertainties.
What DaFinstro Engine Says
Verdict
Our Engine confirms that the data aligns with the astrological bias of mixed outcomes during Neptune Retrograde, with a tendency towards positive performance in several indices.
Strongest Signals
- NIFTY 100: 81.8% win rate, 11.03% avg return, 22 occurrences, statistically significant (p = 0.0022).
- NIFTY 200: 81.0% win rate, 8.77% avg return, 21 occurrences, statistically significant (p = 0.0036).
- NIFTY MIDCAP 50: 76.2% win rate, 8.88% avg return, 21 occurrences, statistically significant (p = 0.0133).
Astro vs Data
The astrological themes of uncertainty and introspection appear to manifest as positive performance in indices like the NIFTY 100 and NIFTY 200, suggesting that these periods may indeed bring clarity and uncover value. The strong performance in broader indices such as NIFTY 100 aligns with the notion of dispelling illusions, while the NIFTY METAL, though not statistically significant, also shows a positive trend, possibly reflecting the uncovering of true value in tangible assets.
Confidence
The results are robust, with significant p-values in several indices, particularly the NIFTY 100 and NIFTY 200, indicating a reliable pattern. The sample sizes, ranging from 21 to 35 occurrences, provide a reasonable basis for these observations, although the consistency across indices is varied, with some not reaching statistical significance.
Trading Notes
During Neptune Retrograde, traders should be cautious of speculative investments and focus on sectors where clarity and tangible results are visible. It is a good time to reassess portfolios and ensure that investments are based on sound fundamentals rather than illusions or hype.
Historical Performance
| Index | N | Wins | Win Rate | Avg Ret | Avg Win | Avg Loss | Sharpe | Sortino | PF | P-Value | Sig |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY 100 | 24 | 19 | 79.2% | 9.86% | +15.58% | -11.87% | 1.77 | 1.70 | 4.99 | 0.0033 | Yes |
| NIFTY 200 | 23 | 18 | 78.3% | 7.76% | +13.34% | -12.32% | 1.54 | 1.26 | 3.90 | 0.0053 | Yes |
| NIFTY 500 | 32 | 19 | 59.4% | 5.93% | +18.42% | -12.31% | 0.90 | 1.08 | 2.19 | 0.1885 | - |
| NIFTY AUTO | 23 | 19 | 82.6% | 9.13% | +14.50% | -16.38% | 1.78 | 1.38 | 4.20 | 0.0013 | Yes |
| NIFTY BANK | 27 | 18 | 66.7% | 8.92% | +19.42% | -12.07% | 1.44 | 1.95 | 3.22 | 0.0610 | - |
| NIFTY CAPITAL GOODS | 22 | 13 | 59.1% | 5.38% | +17.65% | -12.35% | 0.82 | 0.89 | 2.06 | 0.2617 | - |
| NIFTY CEMENT | 22 | 13 | 59.1% | 7.46% | +20.13% | -10.84% | 1.08 | 1.34 | 2.68 | 0.2617 | - |
| NIFTY CHEMICALS | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 8.13% | +15.81% | -12.34% | 1.45 | 1.27 | 3.42 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY COMMERCIAL & TRANSPORT SERVICES | 22 | 13 | 59.1% | 5.20% | +15.68% | -9.95% | 0.90 | 0.90 | 2.28 | 0.2617 | - |
| NIFTY CONSTRUCTION | 22 | 12 | 54.5% | 7.09% | +26.60% | -16.32% | 0.81 | 1.00 | 1.96 | 0.4159 | - |
| NIFTY CONSUMER DURABLES | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 9.26% | +19.75% | -13.22% | 1.44 | 1.37 | 3.20 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY CONSUMER SERVICES | 7 | 5 | 71.4% | 16.76% | +24.64% | -2.92% | 3.55 | 13.93 | 21.09 | - | - |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES | 23 | 18 | 78.3% | 10.50% | +17.13% | -13.35% | 1.86 | 1.97 | 4.62 | 0.0053 | Yes |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES 25-50 | 23 | 17 | 73.9% | 10.10% | +17.90% | -12.02% | 1.80 | 1.93 | 4.22 | 0.0173 | Yes |
| NIFTY FINANCIAL SERVICES EX-BANK | 22 | 17 | 77.3% | 9.63% | +17.08% | -15.71% | 1.57 | 1.54 | 3.70 | 0.0085 | Yes |
| NIFTY FMCG | 31 | 20 | 64.5% | 6.48% | +13.68% | -6.61% | 1.57 | 2.37 | 3.76 | 0.0748 | - |
| NIFTY HEALTHCARE | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 7.19% | +13.44% | -6.20% | 1.65 | 1.82 | 4.65 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY HOSPITALS | 6 | 4 | 66.7% | 14.30% | +25.45% | -7.99% | 2.67 | 5.51 | 6.37 | - | - |
| NIFTY HOUSING FINANCE | 9 | 3 | 33.3% | -1.06% | +20.32% | -11.76% | -0.32 | -0.40 | 0.86 | - | - |
| NIFTY INDIA FPI 150 | 5 | 4 | 80.0% | 3.92% | +6.44% | -6.20% | 1.55 | 1.91 | 4.16 | - | - |
| NIFTY INSURANCE | 8 | 7 | 87.5% | 7.59% | +10.10% | -10.00% | 2.65 | 2.46 | 7.07 | - | - |
| NIFTY IT | 31 | 18 | 58.1% | 13.14% | +32.51% | -13.69% | 1.38 | 2.35 | 3.29 | 0.2366 | - |
| NIFTY LARGEMIDCAP 250 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 7.10% | +13.92% | -11.10% | 1.37 | 1.16 | 3.34 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY MEDIA | 21 | 15 | 71.4% | 4.79% | +14.04% | -18.33% | 0.74 | 0.61 | 1.91 | 0.0392 | Yes |
| NIFTY METAL | 23 | 16 | 69.6% | 9.69% | +23.28% | -21.36% | 1.04 | 1.12 | 2.49 | 0.0466 | Yes |
| NIFTY MICROCAP 250 | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 8.48% | +20.08% | -16.38% | 1.23 | 1.13 | 2.63 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 100 | 24 | 17 | 70.8% | 10.92% | +19.81% | -10.67% | 1.83 | 1.98 | 4.51 | 0.0320 | Yes |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 150 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 7.61% | +15.24% | -12.76% | 1.37 | 1.14 | 3.19 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY MIDCAP 50 | 23 | 17 | 73.9% | 7.98% | +15.28% | -12.72% | 1.41 | 1.19 | 3.41 | 0.0173 | Yes |
| NIFTY MIDCAP SELECT | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 6.79% | +15.72% | -12.34% | 1.15 | 1.06 | 2.73 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL FINANCIAL SERVICES | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 8.27% | +18.51% | -13.67% | 1.33 | 1.40 | 2.90 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL HEALTHCARE | 22 | 18 | 81.8% | 9.84% | +14.54% | -11.29% | 2.21 | 1.87 | 5.80 | 0.0022 | Yes |
| NIFTY MIDSMALL IT & TELECOM | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 6.22% | +14.88% | -16.88% | 1.01 | 0.90 | 2.35 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY MIDSMALLCAP 400 | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 7.40% | +16.37% | -11.82% | 1.30 | 1.18 | 2.97 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY MIDSMALLCAP400 50:50 | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 7.27% | +16.40% | -12.29% | 1.26 | 1.15 | 2.86 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY NBFC | 22 | 14 | 63.6% | 10.03% | +21.98% | -10.89% | 1.42 | 1.83 | 3.53 | 0.1431 | - |
| NIFTY NEXT 100 | 17 | 12 | 70.6% | 6.20% | +10.80% | -4.86% | 1.99 | 3.25 | 5.34 | 0.0717 | - |
| NIFTY NEXT 50 | 30 | 20 | 66.7% | 8.06% | +19.80% | -15.42% | 1.13 | 1.28 | 2.57 | 0.0494 | Yes |
| NIFTY OIL & GAS | 22 | 12 | 54.5% | 4.47% | +15.13% | -8.32% | 0.88 | 1.03 | 2.18 | 0.4159 | - |
| NIFTY PHARMA | 26 | 20 | 76.9% | 8.69% | +14.18% | -9.62% | 1.64 | 1.93 | 4.91 | 0.0047 | Yes |
| NIFTY POWER | 22 | 12 | 54.5% | 5.73% | +19.41% | -10.69% | 0.65 | 1.12 | 2.18 | 0.4159 | - |
| NIFTY PRIVATE BANK | 22 | 14 | 63.6% | 9.44% | +19.83% | -8.73% | 1.57 | 2.11 | 3.98 | 0.1431 | - |
| NIFTY PSU BANK | 23 | 14 | 60.9% | 10.75% | +23.94% | -9.77% | 1.54 | 2.66 | 3.81 | 0.2024 | - |
| NIFTY REALTY | 20 | 9 | 45.0% | 2.19% | +25.95% | -17.25% | 0.21 | 0.23 | 1.23 | 0.7483 | - |
| NIFTY REITS & REALTY | 6 | 5 | 83.3% | 7.00% | +8.90% | -2.49% | 2.38 | 9.05 | 17.88 | - | - |
| NIFTY RETAIL | 9 | 7 | 77.8% | 10.54% | +14.18% | -2.19% | 3.03 | 11.39 | 22.72 | - | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 100 | 23 | 16 | 69.6% | 8.03% | +18.00% | -14.76% | 1.21 | 1.15 | 2.79 | 0.0466 | Yes |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 250 | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 6.99% | +16.62% | -13.65% | 1.16 | 1.07 | 2.61 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 50 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 5.59% | +14.47% | -18.07% | 0.83 | 0.69 | 2.14 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY SMALLCAP 500 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 7.64% | +16.47% | -15.89% | 1.25 | 1.06 | 2.76 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY TELECOMMUNICATIONS | 22 | 13 | 59.1% | 4.29% | +17.20% | -14.36% | 0.70 | 0.71 | 1.73 | 0.2617 | - |
| NIFTY TOTAL MARKET | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 6.76% | +14.06% | -8.89% | 1.37 | 1.27 | 3.39 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY50 | 37 | 25 | 67.6% | 8.21% | +19.09% | -14.46% | 1.23 | 1.43 | 2.75 | 0.0235 | Yes |
| NIFTY500 HEALTHCARE | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 7.88% | +13.57% | -7.29% | 1.81 | 1.84 | 4.96 | 0.0262 | Yes |
| NIFTY500 LARGEMIDSMALL EQUAL-CAP WEIGHTED | 22 | 15 | 68.2% | 7.09% | +15.20% | -10.30% | 1.37 | 1.26 | 3.16 | 0.0669 | - |
| NIFTY500 MULTICAP 50:25:25 | 22 | 16 | 72.7% | 6.97% | +13.79% | -11.24% | 1.37 | 1.18 | 3.27 | 0.0262 | Yes |
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